Thursday, March 13, 2008
Bye For Now, Margie
Margie, I miss your smiling face and wise counsel already. You're not one to leave the party early so there must have been a reason, or you're really ticked off right now. Either way, let's laugh our asses off at the next one too.
Our hearts go out to Larry, the kids, family and many close friends. She was the best.
Friday, February 1, 2008
And In this Corner: Microsoft Bid for Yahoo! Sets Stage for Heavyweight Bout
Like in boxing, it's fun to watch the big boys fight. I am more a fan of the welterweights and middleweights, and sometimes the light heavyweights (are you asleep yet?), but on those rare occasions you get to see the big fellas who can actually move, duck, punch and speak. We have all the possibilities of such a bout as Microsoft looks to add some pack to its wallop with its Yahoo! bid, setting up a battle of the colossals. I urge people at ringside to wear splatter guards. OK, enough tortured boxing metaphors. Someone who tracks this stuff more closely than I do cautioned that this is "far from a done deal," noting that Yahoo! has turned down bids like this before. Is it time for Yahoo! to make the big move?
Here is the letter Microsoft's Steve Ballmer sent to the Yahoo! board of directors:
I am writing on behalf of the Board of Directors of Microsoft to make a proposal for a business combination of Microsoft and Yahoo!. Under our proposal, Microsoft would acquire all of the outstanding shares of Yahoo! common stock for per share consideration of $31 based on Microsoft's closing share price on January 31, 2008, payable in the form of $31 in cash or 0.9509 of a share of Microsoft common stock. Microsoft would provide each Yahoo! shareholder with the ability to choose whether to receive the consideration in cash or Microsoft common stock, subject to pro-ration so that in the aggregate one-half of the Yahoo! common shares will be exchanged for shares of Microsoft common stock and one-half of the Yahoo! common shares will be converted into the right to receive cash. Our proposal is not subject to any financing condition.
Our proposal represents a 62% premium above the closing price of Yahoo! common stock of $19.18 on January 31, 2008. The implied premium for the operating assets of the company clearly is considerably greater when adjusted for the minority, non-controlled assets and cash. By whatever financial measure you use - EBITDA, free cash flow, operating cash flow, net income, or analyst target prices - this proposal represents a compelling value realization event for your shareholders.
We believe that Microsoft common stock represents a very attractive investment opportunity for Yahoo!'s shareholders. Microsoft has generated revenue growth of 15%, earnings growth of 26%, and a return on equity of 35% on average for the last three years. Microsoft's share price has generated shareholder returns of 8% during the last one year period and 28% during the last three year period, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. It is our view that Microsoft has significant potential upside given the continued solid growth in our core businesses, the recent launch of Windows Vista, and other strategic initiatives.
Microsoft's consistent belief has been that the combination of Microsoft and Yahoo! clearly represents the best way to deliver maximum value to our respective shareholders, as well as create a more efficient and competitive company that would provide greater value and service to our customers. In late 2006 and early 2007, we jointly explored a broad range of ways in which our two companies might work together. These discussions were based on a vision that the online businesses of Microsoft and Yahoo! should be aligned in some way to create a more effective competitor in the online marketplace. We discussed a number of alternatives ranging from commercial partnerships to a merger proposal, which you rejected. While a commercial partnership may have made sense at one time, Microsoft believes that the only alternative now is the combination of Microsoft and Yahoo! that we are proposing.
In February 2007, I received a letter from your Chairman indicating the view of the Yahoo! Board that "now is not the right time from the perspective of our shareholders to enter into discussions regarding an acquisition transaction." According to that letter, the principal reason for this view was the Yahoo! Board's confidence in the "potential upside" if management successfully executed on a reformulated strategy based on certain operational initiatives, such as Project Panama, and a significant organizational realignment. A year has gone by, and the competitive situation has not improved.
While online advertising growth continues, there are significant benefits of scale in advertising platform economics, in capital costs for search index build-out, and in research and development, making this a time of industry consolidation and convergence. Today, the market is increasingly dominated by one player who is consolidating its dominance through acquisition. Together, Microsoft and Yahoo! can offer a credible alternative for consumers, advertisers, and publishers. Synergies of this combination fall into four areas:
Scale economics: This combination enables synergies related to scale economics of the advertising platform where today there is only one competitor at scale. This includes synergies across both search and non-search related advertising that will strengthen the value proposition to both advertisers and publishers. Additionally, the combination allows us to consolidate capital spending.
Expanded R&D capacity: The combined talent of our engineering resources can be focused on R&D priorities such as a single search index and single advertising platform. Together we can unleash new levels of innovation, delivering enhanced user experiences, breakthroughs in search, and new advertising platform capabilities. Many of these breakthroughs are a function of an engineering scale that today neither of our companies has on its own.
Operational efficiencies: Eliminating redundant infrastructure and duplicative operating costs will improve the financial performance of the combined entity.
Emerging user experiences: Our combined ability to focus engineering resources that drive innovation in emerging scenarios such as video, mobile services, online commerce, social media, and social platforms is greatly enhanced.
We would value the opportunity to further discuss with you how to optimize the integration of our respective businesses to create a leading global technology company with exceptional display and search advertising capabilities. You should also be aware that we intend to offer significant retention packages to your engineers, key leaders and employees across all disciplines.
We have dedicated considerable time and resources to an analysis of a potential transaction and are confident that the combination will receive all necessary regulatory approvals. We look forward to discussing this with you, and both our internal legal team and outside counsel are available to meet with your counsel at their earliest convenience.
Our proposal is subject to the negotiation of a definitive merger agreement and our having the opportunity to conduct certain limited and confirmatory due diligence. In addition, because a portion of the aggregate merger consideration would consist of Microsoft common stock, we would provide Yahoo! the opportunity to conduct appropriate limited due diligence with respect to Microsoft. We are prepared to deliver a draft merger agreement to you and begin discussions immediately.
In light of the significance of this proposal to your shareholders and ours, as well as the potential for selective disclosures, our intention is to publicly release the text of this letter tomorrow morning.
Due to the importance of these discussions and the value represented by our proposal, we expect the Yahoo! Board to engage in a full review of our proposal. My leadership team and I would be happy to make ourselves available to meet with you and your Board at your earliest convenience. Depending on the nature of your response, Microsoft reserves the right to pursue all necessary steps to ensure that Yahoo!'s shareholders are provided with the opportunity to realize the value inherent in our proposal.
We believe this proposal represents a unique opportunity to create significant value for Yahoo!'s shareholders and employees, and the combined company will be better positioned to provide an enhanced value proposition to users and advertisers. We hope that you and your Board share our enthusiasm, and we look forward to a prompt and favorable reply.
Sincerely yours,
Steven A. Ballmer
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Adobe & Yahoo! Trying To Help Make Us More Money
More specifically, I love ads.
I think it’s a shame that advertisers are only restricted to TV, radio, newspapers, magazines, and cell phones. To Web sites, pop-ups, billboards, airline tray tables, blimps, and beach planes. To the shirts, hats, bags and even the bare backs of major athletes. And still, I can’t get enough.
No. I mean it. I wish I could TiVo them. I love the Geico cavemen. I love the three boys returning to school with their new backpacks, paid for by MasterCard. I miss the old Alka-Seltzer commercials, because those people with hangovers and gas always looked more miserable than I ever could. But then, I was ten, and at least six months away from my first hangover.
I wish there were more places for ads. On my drapes. On my windows. On my pillows. On the foreheads of my friends and children. Go for it! Put one of those big ol’ Mail Pouch ads on the side of my house! Just pay me, and you’re in.
So I was thrilled with the news that Adobe (ADBE) and Yahoo! (YHOO) joined together to launch Ads for Adobe PDF Powered by Yahoo!. And don’t take my introduction as sarcasm. It’s just me screaming out that I know so little about technology I can only make fun of it. With a roll-off-the-tongue carpal-tunnel name, Ads for Adobe PDF Powered by Yahoo! (AAPDFPY!) is an opt-in service that allows publishers to drive new revenue with contextual ads. “The service has the potential to offer readers access to more free content, enhanced with ads that match their interests,” according to the company.
To join the AAPDFPY! program, publishers must register online, and then upload their Adobe PDF content so that it can be ad-enabled before distributing PDFs. Ads can only be displayed within Adobe Reader and Adobe Acrobat, in a panel adjacent to the content so that they do not disrupt the viewing experience. Every time the PDF content is viewed, contextual ads are dynamically matched to the content of the document. The publisher can then monitor performance through detailed reports. Cool, huh?
So how is the AAPDFPY! launch going? Cynthia Tillo, Senior Product Manager with Adobe, told this blogger really well.
“We have seen interest from all types of publishers,” she said. Publishers of “eBooks, nonprofits, magazines, technical journals, educational institutions and bloggers, to name a few. Some of the more surprising ones include companies who want to include Yahoo! ads in their own marketing collateral and one individual who wants to include ads in his resume! The potential of users being able to access more content for free is actually a reality. One of the great eBooks that used to be sold for fee is Kevin Kelly's True Films, a review of the best documentary films, and it is now available for free: http://kk.org/cooltools/archives/002538.php. We have another publisher who plans to get rid of their annual subscription model and make available thousands of PDF reports for free, in exchange for ad revenue.”
To read more about the launch, click here:
http://www.adobe.com/aboutadobe/pressroom/pressreleases/200711/112907Yahoo.html
Friday, December 14, 2007
SIPA Marketing Conference Sharefest: Keep Miami Alive!!!

The chairmen of the event, Randy Coon and Greg Martz of The Motley Fool, put together a diverse and valuable program. We'd like to keep the conversation going. Please use this blog to post quick notes on what you learned, observations you made, or merely to hurl insults at others. Tell us what you liked. Post questions and we'll see if we can get you an answer. If you have trouble with the site, there is next to no hope for you. But send me an email anyway.
Surf's Up: Riding the Online Wave from Acquisition to Renewal was excellent. Thanks to Randy, Greg, Patti, Janine, Katie and all the speakers.
Email: Revolting and Beautiful and Powerful if You Get it Right

David Daniels, VP and Research Director at JupiterKagan Inc. and Jeanniey Mullen, Senior Partner at OgilvyOne Worldwide. Below is coverage of their presentation today, although you won't realize that for a couple paragraphs. And you can compliment my page composition skills later. Also, I just realized that Mr. Daniels might think the headline was written to describe the photographs. That was not my intention. Please bear with me. --Tom Hagy
MIAMI -- I live in Pennsylvania, probably near a swamp. In the summer there are these pesky bugs that swirl around your head with one goal and one goal only: to fly directly into your eyes and drown in your tears. I now wear goggles during the summer months, a fashion accessory that is getting raves in the neighborhood.
These bugs are almost as annoying as the volumes of email I get. That is probably because of the volumes of email I send. But my stuff is really important. Like this blog.
Apparently I am not alone. Well, at the moment I am extremely alone, and finally figured out how to work the air conditioner here at the Loews Miami Beach Hotel. It’s now 40 degrees here in room 803, much better than the 30 degrees of the last two days. If I’d woken up this a.m. spooning with a polar bear I would not have been surprised.
Oh, right, I am not alone. We all get tons of email, and companies who send them, smart ones, are finding ways to integrate and improve email communication with customers with admirably profitable results.
Jeanniey Mullen of OgilvyOne Worldwide and David Daniels of JupiterKagan Inc. closed the SIPA marketing conference here with some useful context, techniques and best practices to use email and related devices to have a significant impact on brand advocacy, customer loyalty, e-commerce sales, viral marketing and offline sales.
Some fun factoids. According to the JupiterKagan research cited throughout the presentation, consumers get about 274 personal emails a week and another 304 at work per week. 70% percent have two accounts. 8% perform email triage via their handhelds.
Email is still the #1 online activity, but it is decreasing, according to Mr. Daniels.
“Email bankruptcy” is a movement for those of us sick of email – like Moby – and just want the world to start picking up the phone again. And some of us would prefer you leave a message under our windshield wipers.
For email subscriptions, 53% of people unsubscribe because the content is irrelevant, 40% because the sender is sending too much, too often. An unknown percentage just doesn’t like your smirk.
Bills. 25% of people are now suppressing their paper billing statements in favor of email statements. That goes up to 33% if you make over 100K, a reason to ask for a raise if I ever heard one. There is no difference according to age here. I have begun suppressing bills in all media.
Understand this: people actually opt in because they trust your brand. But before you start designing your emails, focus first on how you acquire your email addresses, how much data you want, where you will ask for the information, how you handle it. Get that right first.
Portability. Thanks to handhelds people seeking instant gratification can now get it, at least when it comes to email, information, and commerce. Earlier this year 10% of those polled made new purchases this way, a number that just jumped to 18%, according to Mr. Daniels.
Improving renewals. Ms. Mullen noted her work with one publisher revealed that their renewal rates were 97% higher among readers who opted in for email correspondence.
Text messaging. For you thumb jockeys out there, note that 27% of those polled use TXT more for personal use than email. Ms. Mullen cited as an example an airline ad that encouraged people to send a text message to the customer with their email address to get something for free. She saw this ad while waiting for her bag at an airport. Maybe next they will ask for a TXT to get the bag within 8 hours.
RSS. 7% of those polled adopted RSS, but this leans more toward guys in the 35-44 age range. A good example of this is Travelocity RSS and Blackberry RSS.
Social Sites. 18% of the online population now use these sites for networking. They also use them for fun and seeing if they are more successful than their high school friends. But enough about me. 50% of people 18-24 years old use these sites more than email for communicating; 32% of those 25-34 do so.
Note how social networking capability can facilitate discussion and how Microsoft, for example, is aggregating your conversations to understanding user behaviors. For example, the speakers noted that 80% of people start discussing their weekend on Wednesdays after 6 p.m. and then start talking about something different on Saturday at noon, about when I am getting out of bed.
18% of people will forward promotional email. When I have done it, it was usually emails like the ones that promised I could enlarge my pancreas. I don’t even want to know why. You have a lot more credibility if someone else, a friend, forwards your email to a friend. The power of viral communication is compelling.
Customer service. 90% of customers call customer service when something is wrong and 40% aren’t satisfied after that first call. Following up with email that is valuable, timely and relevant can keep the conversation going and improve customer satisfaction. The speakers noted the use of video helps tremendously in this regard. It keeps your readers’ attention. They noted how IBM sent out a video of Ned and Gil trapped in a server maze. It was funny, viewed a ton, and got customers engaged.
Good to know. Conversations happen inside and outside the inbox. People talk, text, and actually discuss you face to face. “The opt-in is worth as much as your best customers’ spending history,” Ms. Mullens said. Your reputation, actual and reliable delivery of your email, rendering of the email itself (good looking? Who cares. Can they view it?) and relevancy (will they care?) – are critical to effective email communication.
10 Points to Build Your Email Newsletter Experience
1) Put top search words in your email copy.
2) Drive opt in via all media channels.
3) Integrate email with media launches.
4) Let social networks carry your message.
5) I missed #5 because the guy next to me wanted to tell me about his high school rock band.
6) Ensure your message renders correctly on a range of devices.
7) Prepare a mobile landing page.
8) Leverage subscriber behavior.
9) Leverage partners to grow lists.
10) Test test test!!!!
Please share anything I might have missed, confused or misspelled. If you have #5, please tell him to call his wife. And by all means, PLEASE INSULT ME if that helps you make your point.
Thursday, December 13, 2007
Shiny Pretty Relevant Things. Technology Changes, But Apparently We Don't.

You might think you’re concentrating on one thing or another but in just a second your eyes have pinballed around a Web page about a million times and even found your favorite two or three places to land.
Bill Barnes, co-founder of Enquiro Search Solutions Inc., makes a living out of turning that spastic ocular activity into money. With customers like Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), IBM (IBM) and LexisNexis (my employer), he has a lot of experience to draw on.
Mr. Barnes spoke during the SIPA Marketing Conference here today. I won’t attempt to capture his talk completely. Let’s be honest. I am not getting paid for this, and my fingers are now frozen. While I am in Miami, my air conditioner thinks we’re at the Equator.
Mr. Barnes summarized your Web mission for you. Make sure there is a connection between intent and content. Understand what someone intends to do when they sit down at their computer, and make sure you help. He showed “heat maps” of various Web sites, showing red zones, where most eyeballs landed, and light blue zones where fewer landed, and zones with no color where . . . . I think you follow. This kind of data is invaluable. He can show how the top left of the page is truly hot hot hot! But that the top right still can draw 30% of your visitors. He emphasized that hot spots are blogs, video (and audio), press releases and images. He encouraged you to get relevant content of this type on your site and make sure it is tagged to draw search engines.
Personalization rocks. Even if appearing low on a page, he showed how personalized content – content based on understanding your user – draws eyeballs. He showed how eyeballs tend to move down first, which is good news for content even below the fold, and then back up again, but not necessarily all the way to the top. So the middle can be tops. Mr. Barnes found that personalized results can increase clicks fourfold! To extrapolate, a photo that is relevant to the search and personalized would be a great eyeball magnet just about wherever it is on the page.
He strongly advised having a site map image for any site. He suggested doing an image search on your company right now and see where you pop up. Again, make sure the images are relevant and tagged, and preferably original, not from clip art.
Adding images to press releases is a good technique, as is including company stock symbols and linking to Google’s stock page. See the third paragraph of this post for how it's done.
Optimizing video is important since it is not picked up automatically by search engines. Put your video on YouTube, Google Video, MetaCafe, Yahoo Video, etc. Then, get people to comment on your video, he said, and while you’re at it, comment on other companies’ videos.
Get your bloggers to comment on your companies’ activity and press releases, even if you have to separate yourself from employees by letting them blog on their own.
Get as much interlinking in your site and with other sites as possible. He strongly recommended creating a FaceBook for your company now.
Study the key words people are plugging into your site as great customer feedback.
OK, that might be the worst summary I have done today. Or in my life, although the bar is pretty low. I invite Mr. Barnes to please respond to this, either to elaborate, correct or just complain about me.
He offered a free white paper white paper on the subject at http://www.enquiroresearch.com/. I am sure that’s better than what you’re reading right now. He also had great things to say about research performed by Nielsen Norman Group. Check it out.
Web Analytics Must Focus On Outcomes

Here are my quick takeaways on location if, that is, I can survive the hyperactive air conditioning unit in my room, which apparently was made fun of by other air conditioners as a child and is now overcompensating. It's about 30 degrees in here.
Web analytics are a must, and must be accompanied by intelligent humans who can study them and find actionable lessons. “Tools are just tools. You must have people to analyze the data.” That is where insights come from, he said. Mr. Kaushik was surprised at the number of companies and executives who “deliberately don’t want to be smart” and ignore this concept. This is especially true, he said, since Web analytical tools, good ones, are cheap or even free.
One of the great things you can get is a list of multiple outcomes, like your visitors’ likelihood to purchase or whether they would recommend the site to someone else. Reports can be generated that display trends in a digestible way, too, so even a CEO can understand them.
He emphasized the importance of making sure reports focus on outcomes. “Reports can be 15 words. You don’t need a Ph.D. thesis,” he said, “I don’t give a crap!” He noted that one company was generating 200 Web reports. He stopped sending them. No one noticed. Why? Because they didn’t say anything that was actionable or could help people in the company move forward. Companies should give people a bonus for drawing meaningful conclusions from data! Make sure reports are focused on outcomes. Deploy techniques like advanced visitor labeling. “Reporting is not analysis,” he said.
Web analytics allow for experimentation and testing. Many companies let the HIPPO decide, which means the Highest Paid Person’s Opinion. “And this is why most Web sites suck,” he said.
Capturing the voice of the customer is another benefit. “I like surveys a lot,” Mr. Kaushik said. Ask two or three questions, as long as one is “Why are you here?” and another one is “Were you able to complete your task?” You want to find out why people are doing on all these crazy things on your site, then tweak your site to make it easier to do those things. Understand these things first, he said. “Is your site sexy or cool? Who gives a crap?! Fix this first!”
Mr. Kaushik said competitive intelligence can be generated easily through Web analytics. For example, noting that 80% of people on the Web start with a search engine, you need to understand what words are driving traffic to what sites. Understanding that fact will enable you to drive traffic.
Microsoft and Google both have free Web analytics tools. There are sites that allow you to test different page layouts. See Skype for a free Web site optimizer to help you do this.
Web analytics can provide “true customer centricity” to help understand why the bulk of your repeat visitors are coming back, and what they are doing. You might find the main reason they are coming is not the main solution you provide.
“Make customers happy and the money follows.”
For more go to his blog, Occam’s Razor at www.kaushik.net/avinash.
